Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election, Mikie Sherrill won by 16 percentage points after pre-election polls showed an eight-point marginAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe final New York Times poll for the 2026 Michigan Senate election showed Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican candidate Mike Rogers 53 percent to 42 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Kansas Senate reelection contest between Republican Senator Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hilton was rated a toss-upAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Cook Political Report assessed that roughly two-thirds of the congressional districts redrawn to favor Republicans after 2024 became competitive toss-up racesAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn an NPR poll heading into the 2026 midterms, 32 percent of Americans approved of Donald Trump's job performance as presidentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA PBS News/Marist poll found that voters favored Democrats over Republicans on the 2026 congressional ballot by eight percentage pointsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Washington Post poll in Kansas recorded a 32 percent response completion rate among Democrats compared to 12 percent among RepublicansAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAhead of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, Francesca Hong's implied probability of winning was over 96% on PolymarketAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimKalshi and Polymarket recorded over $3 billion in combined trading volume across United States election markets in the month leading up to late October 2026AgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Washington Post poll in Kansas showed Adam Hamilton leading Roger Marshall 52 percent to 43 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAnn Selzer's final 2024 poll projected Donald Trump would lose the state of Iowa by approximately 10 percentage pointsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA study conducted by Patrick Ruffini found that 75% of public polls across three national election cycles erred in favor of Democratic candidatesAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Cook Political Report rated approximately 10 United States Senate races and 50 United States House of Representatives races as competitive in 2024AgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAn NPR/PBS News/Marist poll conducted prior to the 2026 midterm elections identified the cost of living as voters' top priorityAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a poll conducted ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, 66% of respondents stated Donald Trump used the presidency to enrich himselfAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a Fox News poll conducted ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, 88% of surveyed voters identified corruption in government as a concernAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimFox News shifted its forecast rating for the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race to a toss-upAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a survey of registered voters, 36% of respondents named government corruption as their top issueAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Washington Post poll in Michigan found that 12% of contacted Republicans answered pollstersAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Washington Post poll in Kansas found that over 30% of contacted Democrats answered pollsters, compared to 12% of independents and less than 10% of RepublicansAgreeDisagree