Bb5a31f81ClaimAhead of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, Francesca Hong's implied probability of winning was over 96% on PolymarketAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimKalshi and Polymarket recorded over $3 billion in combined trading volume across United States election markets in the month leading up to late October 2026AgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Washington Post poll in Kansas showed Adam Hamilton leading Roger Marshall 52 percent to 43 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAnn Selzer's final 2024 poll projected Donald Trump would lose the state of Iowa by approximately 10 percentage pointsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA study conducted by Patrick Ruffini found that 75% of public polls across three national election cycles erred in favor of Democratic candidatesAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Cook Political Report rated approximately 10 United States Senate races and 50 United States House of Representatives races as competitive in 2024AgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAccording to a 2020 FiveThirtyEight survey, nearly 25% of non-voters or irregular voters cited structural voting barriers as a reason for not votingAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a 2020 FiveThirtyEight survey, 31% of non-voting respondents cited disliking the political candidates as their reason for not votingAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAccording to a 2020 FiveThirtyEight survey, non-voters in the United States are disproportionately low-income, less educated, younger, and unaffiliated with a political partyAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a 2020 FiveThirtyEight survey, 26% of non-voting respondents stated they did not vote because they believed an election would change nothingAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAccording to a 2020 FiveThirtyEight survey, registered voters in the United States tend to have higher incomes and education levels than non-votersAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn 2020, FiveThirtyEight conducted a study surveying over 8,000 Americans while tracking their voting histories to examine voter non-participationAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimBetween 35% and 60% of eligible voters in the United States do not cast a ballot in any given electionAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAn NPR/PBS News/Marist poll conducted prior to the 2026 midterm elections identified the cost of living as voters' top priorityAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a poll conducted ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, 66% of respondents stated Donald Trump used the presidency to enrich himselfAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimMore than one million voters cast ballots in the August 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primaryAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a Fox News poll conducted ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, 88% of surveyed voters identified corruption in government as a concernAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimFox News shifted its forecast rating for the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race to a toss-upAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimEarly voting turnout figures for the 2026 midterm elections showed Republican participation lagging behind Democratic participationAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a survey of registered voters, 36% of respondents named government corruption as their top issueAgreeDisagree