Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the 2020 Maine U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Susan Collins trailed Democratic challenger Sara Gideon across nearly all pre-election pollsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA Fox News poll found voters ranked government corruption as their primary concern ahead of inflation, immigration, healthcare, and foreign warsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimTroy Jackson held a 1.2-point lead over Susan Collins in the RealClearPolitics polling average for the 2026 Maine Senate electionAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the 2020 Maine Senate election, pre-election polling showed Susan Collins trailing Democratic challenger Sara Gideon before Collins won the election by nearly 9 percentage pointsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the 2018 Texas U.S. Senate race, Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke lost to Republican Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points after polling 3 to 10 points behindAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA YouGov poll on the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race found that 52% of respondents voted for Donald Trump in 2024, while 40% voted for Kamala HarrisAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAs of October 2026, in five out of five midterm elections since 2006, the opposition party won more House seats than the number of seats classified as leaning toward that partyAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a Marist University poll for the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race, nearly 60% of voters expected Susan Collins to win reelectionAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA YouGov poll showed Democratic candidate James Talarico leading Republican candidate Ken Paxton 50% to 44% in the Texas U.S. Senate raceAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA poll showed Democrat Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michelle Tafoya 54% to 40% in the Minnesota United States Senate raceAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA follow-up Hendricks College poll found Republican incumbent Tom Cotton leading Democratic challenger Haley Schoffner 51% to 41% in the Arkansas Senate raceAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimRace ratings from organizations including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball averaged 223 House seats leaning toward DemocratsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAn August Hendricks College poll found Democratic candidate Haley Schoffner leading Republican incumbent Tom Cotton 47% to 44% in the Arkansas Senate raceAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA New York Times poll showed the South Carolina United States Senate race tied between Annie Andrews and Lindsey Graham at 48% eachAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the 2026 Maine Senate election between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson as a toss-upAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn a Marist University poll for the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race, Democratic challenger Troy Jackson held a 2-point lead over incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins among likely votersAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAmong respondents intending to vote for James Talarico in a YouGov Texas Senate poll, 97% stated their decision was finalAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA poll showed Republican Ashley Moody leading Democrat Angie Nixon 50% to 44% in the Florida United States Senate raceAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn an August Hendricks College poll of the Arkansas Senate race, Libertarian candidate Jeff Wadlin polled at 3%AgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA YouGov poll on the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race found that 41% of respondents identified as Republicans, while 26% identified as DemocratsAgreeDisagree