Bb5a31f81ClaimA New York Times poll showed Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan 48 percent to 46 percent in AlaskaAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Ohio Senate race showed Democrat Sherrod Brown leading Republican Jon Husted 49 percent to 44 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Alaska Senate race showed Democrat Mary Peltola leading Republican Dan Sullivan 48 percent to 46 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Michigan Senate race showed Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers 53 percent to 42 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Kansas Senate race showed Democrat Adam Hamilton leading Republican Roger Marshall 49 percent to 44 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Maine Senate race showed Democrat Troy Jackson leading Republican Susan Collins 51 percent to 45 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Iowa Senate race showed Democrat Josh Turek leading Republican Ashley Hinson 48 percent to 47 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimA final New York Times/Siena poll for the 2026 Texas Senate race showed Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 50 percent to 43 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the final 2026 New York Times/Siena polls, candidate James Talarico held a plus-six crossover voter advantage in TexasAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the final 2026 New York Times/Siena polls, candidate Rob Sand held a plus-12 crossover voter advantage in IowaAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the final 2026 New York Times/Siena polls, candidate Adam Hamilton held a plus-13 crossover voter advantage among Kansas RepublicansAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimVermont Governor Phil Scott trailed by seven percentage points in pre-election polling ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial electionAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election, Mikie Sherrill won by 16 percentage points after pre-election polls showed an eight-point marginAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimAs of November 2026, the average polling error across recent United States election cycles is approximately three to four percentage pointsAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe final New York Times poll for the 2026 Michigan Senate election showed Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican candidate Mike Rogers 53 percent to 42 percentAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn June 2026, Congress passed the Secure America Act, providing 70 billion dollars in additional funding to Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border PatrolAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimDuring the peak of the border surge under the Biden administration, an estimated 10,000 migrants crossed the southern United States border dailyAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimIn early 2025, Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids began targeting construction job sites in the Rio Grande Valley of TexasAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimThe Kansas Senate reelection contest between Republican Senator Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hilton was rated a toss-upAgreeDisagree
Bb5a31f81ClaimTwo Border Patrol agents stationed in the Rio Grande Valley died by suicide within one week during the southern border migration surge under the Biden administrationAgreeDisagree