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On October 9, 2026, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposed expanding the Commodity Exchange Act's legal swap definition to expressly include event contracts on sporting, political, cultural, and weather-related outcomes traded on registered designated contract markets
CFTC Proposes to Expand Definition of Swaps to Include Prediction Markets TradingCFTC proposes a divide between prediction contracts and sportsbook wagersCFTC proposes treating event contracts as swaps while excluding casino gamblingCFTC Draws the Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling in New Rules - DecryptCFTC proposes new swap definition to regulate prediction marketsU.S. CFTC moves to fold event contracts into swaps regulations as legal fight rages