A YouGov poll on the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race found that 52% of respondents voted for Donald Trump in 2024, while 40% voted for Kamala Harris

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In the 2020 Maine U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Susan Collins trailed Democratic challenger Sara Gideon across nearly all pre-election polls

A Fox News poll found voters ranked government corruption as their primary concern ahead of inflation, immigration, healthcare, and foreign wars

Troy Jackson held a 1.2-point lead over Susan Collins in the RealClearPolitics polling average for the 2026 Maine Senate election

In the 2020 Maine Senate election, pre-election polling showed Susan Collins trailing Democratic challenger Sara Gideon before Collins won the election by nearly 9 percentage points

In the 2018 Texas U.S. Senate race, Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke lost to Republican Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points after polling 3 to 10 points behind

Donald Trump won the national popular vote and won all seven swing states in the 2024 presidential election

As of October 2026, in five out of five midterm elections since 2006, the opposition party won more House seats than the number of seats classified as leaning toward that party

In a Marist University poll for the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race, nearly 60% of voters expected Susan Collins to win reelection

Susan Collins is the sole incumbent Republican senator seeking reelection in 2026 in a state won by Democrat Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election

A YouGov poll showed Democratic candidate James Talarico leading Republican candidate Ken Paxton 50% to 44% in the Texas U.S. Senate race

A poll showed Democrat Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michelle Tafoya 54% to 40% in the Minnesota United States Senate race

In early voting for the 2026 Maine Senate election, 220,000 ballots were cast, with registered Democrats outnumbering registered Republicans nearly 5 to 2

A follow-up Hendricks College poll found Republican incumbent Tom Cotton leading Democratic challenger Haley Schoffner 51% to 41% in the Arkansas Senate race

Donald Trump won the presidential vote in Texas by 13 percentage points in 2024

Susan Collins won reelection to the U.S. Senate in Maine by 8.6 percentage points in 2020, while Joe Biden won the state by nine points

In the 2020 election in Maine, female voters backed Joe Biden for president by 23 percentage points while backing Susan Collins for Senate by 3 percentage points

Race ratings from organizations including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball averaged 223 House seats leaning toward Democrats

An August Hendricks College poll found Democratic candidate Haley Schoffner leading Republican incumbent Tom Cotton 47% to 44% in the Arkansas Senate race

A New York Times poll showed the South Carolina United States Senate race tied between Annie Andrews and Lindsey Graham at 48% each

The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the 2026 Maine Senate election between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson as a toss-up