Brazilian presidential election 2026

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a closely contested election. A Datafolha survey of 2,506 people, conducted 29 September–1 October across Brazil, put a hypothetical run-off at 48% to 45%; Reuters described the result as a statistical tie within the poll's two-point margin of error. The first round on 4 October produced a run-off between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.