If expected artificial intelligence productivity gains fail to materialize, the IMF projects a market correction that could reduce total global output by 1.1% by 2028 and U.S. GDP by 1.8%.

From the articleIMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilienceAlso in AI investment props up global growth, but war and debt threaten outlook, IMF says By Reuters, IMF edges up 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% but warns economy is ‘vulnerable to setbacks from both directions’