The Alliance for Survival will successfully overthrow Ethiopia's federal government

Seven armed organisations have formed an alliance seeking to remove Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government. Its members include the Tigray People's Liberation Front and the Amhara Fano National Movement, which fought on opposing sides during the Tigray war. The alliance has discussed political and military cooperation, but its cohesion and operational capacity remain uncertain. Ethiopia alleges Eritrean financial support, which Eritrea has repeatedly denied.

The range of ongoing internal armed and political conflicts in Ethiopia, including tensions and armed mobilisation involving regional forces such as the Tigray People's Liberation Front and the Amhara Fano movement, and their bearing on the stability of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's federal government.